Cannabis Market in North America

The North America legal cannabis market amounted to almost $14 billion in 2019, growing by 30 percent on the year. The largest market was the United States, which totaled $12.2 billion. It was by Canada with about $1.7 billion.
The report from cannabis industry analysts BDS Analytics forecasts that the entire legal cannabis market in North America to reach $23.8 billion in sales – an almost 20% annual growth rate by 2021 – as more states legalize cannabis for recreational use and existing markets mature and will grow to $46.5 billion six years later based on the Arcview Market Research report.

Canadian Statistics

Canadian cannabis market has been steadily growing. The country has seen an average of a 10 percent increase each month in the number of Canadian patients signed up to receive medical cannabis. The sale of dried cannabis has grown steadily at 6 percent a month, and the sale of cannabis oil has been growing by 16 percent a month.

In 2017, about 4.9 million Canadians aged 15 to 64 spent an estimated $5.7 billion on cannabis for medical and non-medical purposes. This was equivalent to around $1,200 per cannabis consumer.
In 2018, Canadians spent $1.6 billion on legal cannabis, more than double the amount that was spent on solely medical cannabis in 2017, according to a new report “The State of Legal Marijuana Market”, released by Arcview Market Research and BDS Analytics.
The federal government legalized recreational cannabis on October 17th, 2018 and sales at cannabis stores in the first three months after legalization totaled $151.5 million, reached $1,186 million in 2019 and $2,064 million for the period from January 2020 to October 2020 according to Statistics Canada.
Total sales of dried cannabis in Quarter 3, 2019 increased by 32.4% compared to Quarter 2, 2019 (from 28,394 kilograms to 37,588 kilograms), while total sales of cannabis oil increased by 15.7% (from 27,692 litres to 32,032 litres) during the same period.
As of October 2020, 10,312,899 packaged units of cannabis have been sold across Canada for medical and non-medical purposes. Dried cannabis sales represent 68% of total sales, with 6,989,846 packaged units sold. Edible cannabis sales represent 17% of total sales, with 1,730,964 packaged units sold. Cannabis extracts sales represent 15% of total sales, with 1,577,609 packaged units sold.

Canadian Cannabis Market Forecast

The total cannabis market in Canada, including medical and recreational cannabis products, is expected to generate up to $7 billion in sales in 2020 with $2 to $4 billion in the legal recreational market. Medical cannabis is anticipated to generate an additional $0.7 billion to $1.7 billion in sales, with the illegal market bringing in a further $0.5 billion to $1.3 billion.
The cannabis market is poised to have a major effect overall on Canada’s economy. One study from Deloitte Private pegged the potential economic impact of legalized recreational marijuana in Canada at more than $22 billion, including transportation, licensing fees and security.
According to the CIBC analysts forecast, the investment banking subsidiary of the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, the cannabis adult-use market will have a retail value of 2.5$ billion in 2020 and $4.1 billion in 2021.

Fees and Taxes
Cost recovery for the regulation of cannabis includes four fees:
Application screening fee: recovers the costs associated with screening new licence applications ($3,277 for standard licence applicants and $1,638 for micro and nursery licence applicants);
Security clearance fee: recovers the costs associated with screening, processing, and issuing or refusing security clearances ($1,654);
Import/export permit fee: recovers the costs associated with screening, processing, and issuing or refusing to issue an import or export permit for medical or scientific purposes ($610); and,
Annual regulatory fee: recovers the aggregate costs of administering the cannabis regulatory program that are not covered under any of the other fees (2.3% of cannabis revenue for standard licence holders, or $23,000 if cannabis revenue is less than $1 million, and 1% on the first $1 million of cannabis revenue for micro and nursery licence holders or $2,500 in cases where cannabis revenue is less than $250,000).
Licence holders who produce cannabis exclusively for medical purposes are exempt from the annual regulatory fee.

Taxes
The federal excise duty rate will be 25 cents per gram of cannabis, or 2.5 per cent of the producer’s sale price of that product. An additional rate will apply for an agreeing province or territory.

Alberta, 16.8%;
Nunavut, 19.3%;
Ontario, 3.9%;
Saskatchewan, 6.45%.

It is important to note that excise duties are not paid directly by consumers. Rather, they are paid by manufacturers.

Cannabis legalization in Canada.

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